Elite Status Rankings
The Top 100 Players
Friday, 27th January 2012
Using a computerised formula Elite Sports News is able to generate a player points Projector for Dream Team & SuperCoach using a series of objective criteria against numerical historical data. Some of the objective criteria are short & long term form, strength of opponent & home/away short & long term form to name a few. These projections are estimated to be at least 20% more accurate than merely relying on season averages. (This is based on our 2011 projected results & the 2011 season averages in testing)
Elite Sports News has put no subjectivety into the rankings of these players. It is purely based on what the projection software thinks.
Note the Price rise/fall estimations are formulated behind the projected statistics. This is merely a gauge & is not exact. A lot more goes into the pricing changes than a simple formula
*The Projection software does not know about injury, pre-season form or role changes. Its a software program to make sure you never overlook anybody. It has no feelings or bias towards teams or players. Please use it as a research tool to come to your own conclusions, rather than use it as fact.
1 Steve Johnson F Geelong Cats $530,000 |
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2011 Games Played: 20
Season Average: 106.8 |
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Projected Season Average:
107.40
Season Projected Price Rise:
$1,196.59
2010 Average:
94.60
Round 3 Projected Price Rise:
$300.10
Comments: Moving up & playing a role in the midfield dramatically helped his scoring in 2011. Will he need to help carry the load again? Potentially. Not to mention he is an exceptional athlete. He can create so much with so little space. He is still only 28 . He has more years left in the tank. He will play until after 30. We think his upside is limited. He will likely average around the 100-110 average which is what you are paying for him.
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71%
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2 Paul Chapman F Geelong Cats $505,300 |
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2011 Games Played: 20
Season Average: 102 |
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Projected Season Average:
105.30
Season Projected Price Rise:
$15,464.60
2010 Average:
113.70
Round 3 Projected Price Rise:
$3,878.45
Comments: Soft tissue injuries are Chapman's downfall. At 30, he is entering the twilight of his career. He is still Geelong's barometer across half forward. We actually thought he was a little disappointing in 2011 with an average of 101 a game. He has averaged over 100 in 5 of his past 6 seasons and we may have seen the last of his 115 average seasons, but he is still a solid fantasy forward to have in your team.
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81%
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3 Lance Franklin F Hawthorn Hawks $503,000 |
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2011 Games Played: 19
Season Average: 101.7 |
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Projected Season Average:
104.30
Season Projected Price Rise:
$12,826.99
2010 Average:
99.40
Round 3 Projected Price Rise:
$3,216.95
Comments: Franklin's upside is irresistible. His talents are beyond anything a top line shutdown defender can stop in the AFL. His side is a top 4 proposition and the Hawks use the ball better by foot than any other team by far. He has spectacular delivery. So what's the problem? He is injury prone and he does get suspended, but they come with the package as it does with G Ablett's injuries. Heading into the season at 24, you might be disappointed he was not in your team from Round 1, when you watch his highlight reel on Sports Tonight.
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75%
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4 Dayne Beams F Collingwood Magpies $502,800 |
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2011 Games Played: 14
Season Average: 101.6 |
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Projected Season Average:
104.00
Season Projected Price Rise:
$11,547.26
2010 Average:
87.00
Round 3 Projected Price Rise:
$2,896.00
Comments: We can't believe he played 14 games in 2011 with an average of 102 a game! We think its because we associate his name with underperforming finals. He missed 6 matches last year with a broken foot but returned successfully. He simply didn't perform on the big stage in the most important month of the year. He is only young. Expect him to push hard to prove his worth in 2012.
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77%
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5 Adam Goodes F Sydney Swans $491,000 |
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2011 Games Played: 22
Season Average: 99.3 |
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Projected Season Average:
101.80
Season Projected Price Rise:
$12,463.15
2010 Average:
94.70
Round 3 Projected Price Rise:
$3,125.70
Comments: Turning 32 in 2012, he is a key position player, which gives you hope that he can stick around. Lets not forget he is also still the engine room in the Swans midfield. In 2011 whenever times were tough and they needed a spark in the 4th quarter, Goodes would be in the guts. He is a prolific ball winner, a strong marker and a goal kicker. We have no reason to believe he can't continue on in 2012 and give you the same averages he gave in previous seasons. He mentioned that his pre-season campaigns get easier and easier as the years go by. Wow! You normally hear the opposite from the veterans.
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73%
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6 Matthew Pavlich F Fremantle Dockers $466,200 |
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2011 Games Played: 20
Season Average: 94 |
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Projected Season Average:
97.40
Season Projected Price Rise:
$15,491.12
2010 Average:
91.70
Round 3 Projected Price Rise:
$3,885.10
Comments: Fremantle needed Mitch Clark. They really needed him. This does not bode well for Pavlich. He will need to play a key role at Centre Half Forward for Fremantle this year. His body threw in the towel at the end of last year, with the coach confirming Pavlich's days of midfield action are on its last legs. Not to mention they don't need him in there anymore with the stars they have back. His average is at best low 90s. A very low ceiling for this champion of the game.
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76%
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7 Travis Cloke F Collingwood Magpies $473,500 |
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2011 Games Played: 22
Season Average: 95.7 |
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Projected Season Average:
95.40
Season Projected Price Fall:
($1,646.36)
2010 Average:
85.30
Round 3 Projected Price Fall:
($412.90)
Comments: The number 1 contested mark in the game last year! Actually, they are putting him in the same sentence as the best of all time. He is a genuine talent up forward for Collingwood. If only he could kick straight, he would be averaging over 100 as a Forward. You would expect another strong season coming up for Cloke after becoming fantasy relevant last year. He is only 24 years of age. He could take an even greater step this year after a sensational Grand Final.
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73%
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8 Jordan Lewis F Hawthorn Hawks $441,800 |
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2011 Games Played: 19
Season Average: 89.1 |
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Projected Season Average:
95.20
Season Projected Price Rise:
$28,967.05
2010 Average:
87.30
Round 3 Projected Price Rise:
$7,264.80
Comments: Hawthorn plays possession football matched with Lewis's excellent foot skills and decision making leave a perfect fit. Lewis now with a Forward tag has been noted as an Elite Sports News value add. We think he is a sensational footballer. His final 7 weeks of football including finals was exceptional. We think heading into 2012 he has the potential to return you a 95-100 average, which the projector shows him being $30K undervalued.
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64%
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9 Colin Sylvia F Melbourne Demons $448,600 |
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2011 Games Played: 19
Season Average: 90.7 |
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Projected Season Average:
95.10
Season Projected Price Rise:
$21,695.58
2010 Average:
96.20
Round 3 Projected Price Rise:
$5,441.15
Comments: Sylvia misses games every year and was belted by critics in 2011 in question of when he is going to stand up as a Number 3 Draft Pick in the National Draft. He is now 26 years and it's time he reaches whatever potential he may have. His upside as a forward is solid considering he has runs through the midfield, kicks goals and gets plenty of tackles. His average fell away last year with Melbourne struggling all year. We think he might have a nice bounce back season in 2012.
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68%
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10 Nathan Fyfe F Fremantle Dockers $486,600 |
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2011 Games Played: 21
Season Average: 98.4 |
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Projected Season Average:
93.60
Season Projected Price Fall:
($23,579.39)
2010 Average:
68.10
Round 3 Projected Price Fall:
($5,913.60)
Comments: Fyfe broke out onto the AFL scene in 2011. He was sensational and a very popular upgrade pick in the forward line. He has an incredibly strong contested mark for his size, kicks goals and drifts further up the ground when he has too, chasing possessions. Fremantle will be even bigger in 2012 and at the young age of 20, Fyfe will go from strength to strength with his talents. We have a slight concern for his durability.
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83%
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